HANSOH PHARMA(03692) 交银国际证券·2024-12-03 02:51Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" with a target price of HKD 24.00, indicating a potential upside of 26.8% from the current closing price of HKD 18.92 [1][3][4]. Core Insights - The sales momentum for the drug Amelot is strong, with three major indications expected to be approved within a year. The company anticipates that these approvals will drive annual sales growth of over 20% from 2024 to 2025, reaching a sales target of RMB 6 billion by 2026 [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from compliance investigations affecting competitors, which may allow it to capture market share in first-line and second-line treatments [2]. - The company has a robust pipeline with several new products and indications expected to launch between 2025 and 2026, including an oral antifungal drug and multiple oncology products, supported by a cash reserve exceeding RMB 21 billion [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 12,704 million for 2024, RMB 13,334 million for 2025, and RMB 14,854 million for 2026, reflecting growth rates of 25.7%, 5.0%, and 11.4% respectively [5][11]. - Net profit estimates are RMB 4,364 million for 2024, RMB 4,052 million for 2025, and RMB 4,754 million for 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 32.9%, -7.1%, and 17.3% [5][11]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.74 for 2024, RMB 0.68 for 2025, and RMB 0.80 for 2026, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.9 for 2024 and 25.8 for 2025 [5][11].