Economic Analysis - Heilongjiang Province is a significant producer of oil and grain in China, with traditional industries such as energy, equipment, petrochemicals, and food leading the economy. However, recent years have seen economic growth constrained by resource depletion, industrial structure issues, population aging, and talent loss, resulting in a low growth rate of 2.6% in 2023, which is 2.6 percentage points below the national average [1][11][12] - In 2023, Heilongjiang's GDP reached 1.59 trillion yuan, ranking 25th among all provinces and municipalities in China. The province's economic structure shows that agriculture contributes more than the national average, while industrial growth is weak, and the service sector is the primary driver of economic growth [1][11][19] - The province's first, second, and third industries achieved added values of 351.83 billion yuan, 429.13 billion yuan, and 807.43 billion yuan respectively in 2023, with growth rates of 2.6%, -2.3%, and 5.0% [1][21] Fiscal Strength - Heilongjiang's fiscal strength is relatively weak compared to other provinces, with general public budget revenue of 139.615 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, ranking 25th among 31 provinces [4][34] - The province's general public budget self-sufficiency rate was only 24.2% in 2023, indicating a heavy reliance on upper-level subsidies, which accounted for 46.7% of total fiscal revenue [4][32] - Government fund budget revenue decreased by 3.1% to 14.818 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a continued decline in self-balancing capacity [4][39] Debt Situation - As of the end of 2023, Heilongjiang's government debt balance was 849.73 billion yuan, an increase of 120.64 billion yuan from the previous year, ranking 25th among provinces [8][9] - The ratio of local government debt to general public budget revenue was 6.09 times, indicating a relatively heavy debt burden compared to fiscal capacity [8][9] - The province's city investment platform had a total interest-bearing debt of 103.938 billion yuan at the end of 2023, ranking 26th among provinces, suggesting a manageable debt burden overall [8][9] City-Level Economic Analysis - The economic structure of Heilongjiang's cities shows significant differentiation, with Harbin and Daqing leading in GDP, accounting for 53.1% of the province's total GDP in 2023 [2][3][48] - In 2023, Harbin's GDP was 557.63 billion yuan, while Daqing's was 286.25 billion yuan, with other cities like Qiqihar and Suihua having GDPs below 100 billion yuan [2][48] - The economic growth rate of Heilongjiang's cities in 2023 was generally lower than the previous year, with Daxing'anling experiencing negative growth of -0.4%, while Daqing turned from negative to positive growth at 1.8% [2][49]
区域研究报告:黑龙江省及下辖各市(地区)经济财政实力与债务研究(2024)
新世纪资信评估·2024-12-04 05:55