Industry Investment Rating - The report highlights the urgent need for investment in Ukraine's power sector, particularly in distributed energy resources (DERs), to address the immediate power deficit and long-term decarbonisation goals [40][54][105] Core Viewpoints - Distributed energy resources (DERs) are identified as a key solution to address Ukraine's immediate power needs while advancing its long-term vision of a modern, decentralised power system [52][53] - DERs, including solar PV, wind, batteries, and small modular gas turbines, offer multiple strategic advantages such as enhanced system resilience, rapid deployment, and support for decarbonisation [53][54] - The report outlines a roadmap for Ukraine to scale up DER deployment, with a focus on policy reforms, market design, and regulatory alignment to ensure a secure, sustainable, and affordable power system [55][58][63] Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: Ukraine's Power Needs and DERs - Ukraine faces a significant power deficit, with nearly two-thirds of its dispatchable power generation capacity damaged or destroyed due to the ongoing conflict [4][7] - DERs can help address Ukraine's immediate power needs by providing localised generation, reducing grid congestion, and enhancing system flexibility [2][46][53] - The report emphasises the importance of scaling up DERs to meet Ukraine's 2030 energy targets, requiring approximately 24 GW of solar, 11 GW of wind, and 6 GW of energy storage capacity [54] Chapter 2: A Decentralised Vision for Rebuilding Ukraine's Power System - The report presents a detailed power system model to explore Ukraine's options for addressing immediate system needs while aligning with long-term decarbonisation goals [175][178] - The model suggests that a diverse mix of DERs, including solar PV, wind, and batteries, represents the most cost-effective solution over time, with potential annual system cost reductions of 5.6% to 6.3% [40][274] - The report highlights the need for policy and regulatory reforms to enable the deployment of DERs, including market design changes, tariff reforms, and enhanced coordination between transmission and distribution system operators [58][60][63] Chapter 3: Charting a Path to a Secure, Sustainable, and Decentralised Future - The report outlines seven key recommendations for Ukraine to build a more resilient and modern power system, including creating a vision for decentralisation, improving the regulatory framework, and reforming electricity markets [55][57][58] - It emphasises the importance of enhancing asset visibility, monitorability, and control to ensure system security, as well as establishing clear technical requirements for connecting new assets [61][62] - The report also highlights the need for innovative financing mechanisms to scale up DER deployment, blending public, donor, and private funds to reduce the high cost of capital in Ukraine's energy sector [63][105]
通过分散的电力系统赋予乌克兰权力乌克兰到2030年增加分布式能源使用的路线图（英）2024
国际能源署·2024-12-30 09:15