ENN ENERGY(02688) 国元国际控股·2024-12-31 05:54Investment Rating - The report updates the target price to HKD 71.5, corresponding to 11 times and 10 times PE for 2024 and 2025, respectively, indicating a 27% upside potential from the current price, and assigns a "Buy" rating [6][10][32]. Core Insights - The company projects a 5% growth in gas volume for the entire year, with a 20-30% increase in sales volume for its diversified energy business [4][8][30]. - In Q3, the procurement cost decreased by HKD 0.1 per cubic meter, maintaining a gross margin of HKD 0.54 per cubic meter for the year, with retail gas gross profit expected to grow by 10% annually [5][9]. - The company plans to utilize up to HKD 300 million for share repurchases, which will enhance earnings per share (EPS) as the repurchased shares will be canceled [15][31]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company expects total revenue to reach RMB 123.782 billion, with a net profit of RMB 8.373 billion, reflecting a 10.9% growth [16]. - The gross margin for gas sales is guided at RMB 0.54 per cubic meter, with expectations of achieving an 80% pricing alignment in core cities by year-end [14][18]. - The company anticipates a stable increase in dividend payout, with a projected dividend yield of approximately 5.6% for 2024 [15][19]. Market Position - As of the report date, the company has a market capitalization of HKD 636 billion and a total asset value of RMB 100,509 million [2][22]. - The company has a significant number of operational diversified energy projects, totaling 347, with a sales volume increase of 21.4% year-on-year [30][34]. Shareholder Information - Major shareholders include New Hope Group (34.00%) and BlackRock (6.27%) [2].