2025年全球大类资产投资展望：变局·择机

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic indicators such as GDP growth and inflation rates to assess market conditions and investment opportunities [19][16][17] - It highlights the projected GDP growth rates for the years 2024 to 2027, indicating a gradual decline from 2.5% in 2024 to 1.8% by 2027 [19] - The report also discusses the expected trends in PCE inflation, forecasting a decrease from 2.4% in 2024 to 2.0% by 2027, suggesting a stabilizing inflation environment [19] Economic Indicators - The report provides detailed projections for GDP growth, with estimates of 2.5% for 2024, 2.1% for 2025, and further declines in subsequent years [19] - It outlines the expected PCE inflation rates, with a forecast of 2.4% in 2024, gradually decreasing to 2.0% by 2027 [19] - The report notes that core inflation measures are anticipated to remain stable, indicating a controlled inflation environment [16][19] Industry Analysis - The analysis indicates that sectors sensitive to economic cycles may experience varying impacts based on the projected GDP growth rates [19] - The report suggests that consumer spending may be influenced by inflation trends, affecting retail and service industries [19] - It highlights the importance of adapting investment strategies in response to changing economic conditions and inflation expectations [19][16]