永辉超市：调改持续推进，积蓄长期业绩改善势能

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [1][6] Core Views - The company is undergoing strategic and operational transformation, which is expected to bring long-term performance improvement despite short-term challenges [6] - Store optimization and transformation are progressing rapidly, with significant improvements in customer traffic and sales in optimized stores [6] - The company plans to continue store optimization and strategic transformation in 2025, aiming to optimize over 100 stores and enhance commercial cooperation with MINISO [6] - Despite short-term pressure on performance, the long-term outlook is positive due to improved customer traffic, sales, and supply chain efficiency [6] Financial Summary - 2024 estimated operating revenue: 67,308 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 14.4% [5][6] - 2025 estimated operating revenue: 74,922 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 11.3% [5][6] - 2026 estimated operating revenue: 84,645 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13.0% [5][6] - 2024 estimated net profit attributable to the parent company: -1,404 million RMB [5][6] - 2025 estimated net profit attributable to the parent company: 84 million RMB [5][6] - 2026 estimated net profit attributable to the parent company: 582 million RMB [5][6] Store Optimization Progress - Closed over 200 underperforming stores in 2024, reducing the total number of stores from 1,000 at the end of 2023 to 773 by January 15, 2025 [6] - Completed optimization of 31 stores, with 39 optimized stores operating nationwide by January 15, 2025 [6] - Optimized stores have shown significant improvements, with daily sales exceeding 1 million RMB in the first 1-3 days after opening [6] - Plans to optimize over 100 stores in 2025, with further optimization plans to be announced in the first half of the year [6] Market Performance - Closing price on January 16, 2025: 5.80 RMB [1] - Price-to-book ratio: 9.1 [1] - Market capitalization: 52,635 million RMB [1] - Stock performance over the past year: -50% to 150% compared to the CSI 300 index [3]