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-瑞银证券-大族激光-2025瑞银大中华研讨会:PCB设备继续成为主要增长驱动力
002008Han's Laser(002008) -·2025-01-17 02:53

Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral rating to the company with a target price of Rmb 21.00 based on a 20x multiple of the estimated earnings per share for 2025 [5][6][24]. Core Insights - The primary growth driver for the company in 2025 is expected to come from the information industry, particularly through PCB equipment, which will maintain growth momentum from 2024 due to overseas expansion by small and medium-sized manufacturers, increased demand for server-related PCBs, and recovery in orders for Android smartphones [2][3]. - The company anticipates improvements in other business segments in 2025, with growth largely dependent on overall industry trends and government policy support. The semiconductor and panel business is expected to stabilize, while the new energy lithium battery segment will benefit from major customer order recoveries [3][4]. - Profitability is projected to improve in 2025 due to an enhanced product mix and economies of scale from revenue growth, alongside a significant reduction in stock-based compensation [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of Rmb 14.634 billion for 2024, increasing to Rmb 15.658 billion in 2025, with net profit expected to rise from Rmb 1.592 billion in 2024 to Rmb 1.105 billion in 2025 [7]. - The EBITDA margin is projected to improve from 1.5% in 2024 to 4.2% in 2025, reflecting better operational efficiency [7]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company holds a leading market share in the laser equipment industry in China, supplying low and high-power laser equipment, PCB equipment, and LED devices, with significant applications in consumer electronics, display panels, and new energy batteries [10]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a market capitalization of Rmb 26.7 billion (approximately US$3.64 billion) and a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8x for 2024, which is expected to adjust to 24.1x in 2025 [6][7].