中国肺癌早筛行业市场规模测算逻辑模型 头豹词条报告系列

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the lung cancer early screening industry Core Insights - The lung cancer early screening market in China is projected to grow from RMB 213.47 billion in 2023 to RMB 273.03 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.51% [7] - The market is segmented into two main components: LDCT screening market and lung cancer early screening kits market, with the LDCT screening market expected to grow significantly while the early screening kits market is projected to decline [9][72] Summary by Sections Lung Cancer Early Screening Market Size - The overall market size for lung cancer early screening is calculated based on two factors: LDCT screening market (I) and early screening kits market (O) [7] - The market size in RMB for the years 2018 to 2028 shows a steady increase, with a notable growth rate in the LDCT segment [6][45] Population Data - The total population of China is projected to slightly decline from 140.54 million in 2018 to 140.50 million by 2028, with a negative growth rate observed in recent years [12] - The proportion of the population aged 50-74 is expected to increase from 28.33% in 2018 to 37.12% by 2028, indicating a growing target demographic for lung cancer screening [16] LDCT Screening Data - The LDCT screening population is expected to grow from approximately 12.68 million in 2018 to 14.62 million by 2028, with a gradual increase in screening rates [30] - The LDCT penetration rate is projected to reach 50% by 2028, up from 20.09% in 2018, indicating a significant increase in screening adherence [36] Early Screening Kits Market - The market for lung cancer early screening kits is expected to decline from RMB 90.62 billion in 2018 to RMB 53.75 billion by 2028, with a negative growth rate forecasted for the coming years [72] - The average price of early screening kits is projected to decrease significantly, from RMB 3,000 in 2018 to RMB 715 by 2028, reflecting a trend towards more affordable screening options [63] Screening Frequency and Usage - The report indicates that the recommended frequency for lung cancer screening is once a year for high-risk populations, which aligns with WHO guidelines [42] - The usage frequency of early screening kits is expected to remain stable at one use per person per year [68]