Workflow
申洲国际:景气回升为公司带来充沛订单,看好25年持续性

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 75.2 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 32.4% from the current price of 56.8 HKD [4][7][21]. Core Insights - The company benefits from a strong order flow due to the recovery in market demand, particularly in sportswear and leisure apparel, which is expected to continue into 2025 [4][5][18]. - The textile manufacturing industry is experiencing a recovery, with stable performance from downstream brands, which supports the company's growth prospects [5][18]. - The company's internationalization strategy is progressing well, with an increasing proportion of overseas production capacity, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [6][19]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 129.75 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 12.2%, with a gross profit of 37.61 billion RMB, reflecting a 45.0% increase [10][18]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 29.0%, up 6.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 22.6%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points [10][18]. - Revenue by business type showed double-digit growth in leisure and underwear segments, while sportswear recorded a high single-digit growth [11]. Market Dynamics - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand for sports health and the trend of brands increasing their procurement from key suppliers due to supply chain risks [4][18]. - The recovery in the textile manufacturing sector is reflected in the performance of peer companies, indicating a positive industry trend [5][16]. - The company has a strong customer base, with major clients contributing significantly to its revenue, and it is expected to continue securing orders from high-growth brands [20]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 276.1 billion RMB, 307.1 billion RMB, and 335.3 billion RMB for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.6%, 11.2%, and 9.2% [7][21]. - Net profits are expected to reach 57.6 billion RMB, 65.1 billion RMB, and 73.5 billion RMB for the same periods, with growth rates of 26.3%, 13.1%, and 12.8% [7][21].