一项关于COVID对大学准备、职业规划及大学成功预测影响的研究综合分析

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant negative impact on student performance across various assessments, with notable declines in ACT scores observed during the pandemic years [23][31] - There is no consistent evidence that the pandemic exacerbated existing achievement gaps among different demographic groups; in some cases, historically disadvantaged groups showed less decline [23][31] - The pandemic has led to increased uncertainty among students regarding their career choices, with a notable rise in the percentage of students feeling undecided about their future paths [24][26] Summary by Sections ACT Aspire - Research indicates that students' scores on the ACT Aspire assessments declined across all subjects during the 2020-2021 academic year compared to the previous year, with the most significant drop in mathematics [6][9] - The decline in scores was more pronounced among younger students, while students with disabilities experienced smaller declines [6][9] PreACT - The PreACT scores for the 2020-2021 academic year showed declines in English, mathematics, and reading, with the most significant drop in English for Hispanic students [11][12] - Public school students experienced slightly smaller declines in mathematics and reading compared to private school students [11] ACT Test Score Changes - Studies show that ACT scores dropped significantly in the fall of 2020 compared to the previous year, with an overall decline of 0.63 points in composite scores [17][18] - Asian students experienced the smallest declines in scores across all subjects, while Indigenous students showed the most consistent patterns of decline [23][22] Career Preference Trends - A study covering over 1.6 million students from 2012 to 2023 found that the percentage of students feeling uncertain about their career paths increased from 15.1% to 24.4% [24][25] - Interest in finance and computer science careers has risen, while interest in fields like arts and education has decreased [26][27] Predictive Validity of ACT Scores - The predictive validity of high school GPA (HSGPA) for college performance has changed post-pandemic, while ACT scores remained stable as a predictor [28][29] - The combination of ACT scores and HSGPA provides the best predictive model for first-year college GPA [30]