Group 1: CPI Analysis - In January 2025, the CPI increased by 0.5% year-on-year, up 0.4 percentage points from December 2024[6] - The CPI rose by 0.7% month-on-month, also an increase of 0.7 percentage points from December 2024[6] - The impact of last year's price changes was approximately -0.2 percentage points, while new price increases contributed about 0.7 percentage points[9] Group 2: PPI Analysis - In January 2025, the PPI decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, remaining unchanged from December 2024[27] - The PPI saw a month-on-month decline of 0.2%, down 0.1 percentage points from December 2024[27] - The current economic pressure and insufficient effective demand continue to affect PPI growth, which remains at a low level[28] Group 3: Economic Conditions - The warm winter and the Spring Festival effect contributed to a slight increase in CPI growth, while food prices remained stable[10] - The demand issue remains critical, with expectations for future price performance to improve but still constrained by insufficient consumer demand[38] - The economic structure adjustment continues, with traditional industries facing contraction while high-tech industries are growing[27]
春节效应叠加暖冬天气,CPI增速小幅上行
北大国民经济研究中心·2025-02-10 07:12