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中际旭创:全年业绩大幅增长,2025年海外加大AI领域资本开支

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 140 CNY per share [1][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2024, with estimates ranging from 4.6 to 5.8 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 111.64% to 166.85% [8]. - The company holds a leading position in the optical module sector, with successful advancements in emerging technologies such as 1.6T and silicon photonics [9]. - The demand for high-speed products like 800G and 400G is anticipated to drive substantial revenue growth, with a projected net profit of 8.5 to 22.5 billion CNY in Q4 2024, marking a 76% increase year-on-year [9]. - The company is increasing capital expenditures in the AI sector, with significant investments from major players like OpenAI and Amazon expected to boost overall demand for AI-related infrastructure [9][11]. Company Overview - The company operates in the communication industry and has a current A-share price of 111.90 CNY as of February 12, 2025 [2]. - The company has a market capitalization of approximately 124.85 billion CNY and a total share count of 1,121.17 million [2]. - Major shareholders include Shandong Zhongji Investment Holding Co., Ltd., which holds 11.32% of the shares [2]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 5.39 billion CNY for 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 148.09% [12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected to be 4.81 CNY, reflecting a significant increase compared to previous years [12]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 23 in 2024 to 14 by 2026, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [12]. Product Portfolio - The company specializes in optical communication transceiver modules, with a notable market share in high-end products [4]. - The product mix includes optical components and automotive optoelectronics, contributing to the overall revenue growth [4]. Institutional Ownership - Institutional investors hold approximately 4.6% of the circulating A-shares, while general corporations account for 48.2% [5].