Workflow
网易-S:端游延续强劲表现,新游预计推动增速回升-20250225

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company and raises the target price to HKD 185 / USD 119 [4][6][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q4 2024 revenue was RMB 26.75 billion, a slight year-on-year decline of 1.4%, primarily due to a decrease in non-gaming business [1]. - Game-related revenue increased by 1.5% year-on-year, with a notable 56.6% growth in PC game revenue, driven by titles such as "Naraka: Bladepoint" and "Dungeons & Dragons" [2][3]. - The launch of new games is expected to drive revenue growth, with strong performance from titles like "Marvel's Avengers" and "World of Warcraft" [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q4 2024 adjusted net profit was RMB 9.68 billion, exceeding market expectations of RMB 8.12 billion, with an adjusted net profit margin of 28.6% [1]. - The company forecasts FY25E revenue of RMB 113.5 billion and FY26E revenue of RMB 121.5 billion, with adjusted net profits of RMB 34.5 billion and RMB 37 billion respectively [4][5]. Game Revenue Breakdown - Q4 2024 game revenue reached RMB 20.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, with mobile game revenue declining by 10.5% due to high base effects from the previous year [2]. - The share of PC games in total game revenue increased to 34.7%, reflecting the company's strong long-term operational capabilities [2]. New Game Pipeline - The company has a robust pipeline of new games, including "Destiny: Rising" and "Marvel's Secret Wars," which are expected to launch in 2025 [3]. - The successful launch of "Marvel's Avengers" has already seen over 40 million registered users, indicating strong market interest [3]. Shareholder Returns - The company is committed to shareholder returns, with a total of USD 2.88 billion allocated for dividends and buybacks in 2024, representing a return rate of approximately 4.3% [4].