融达期货宏观日报0226

Macro Economic Insights - U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the 10-year Treasury yield should "naturally" decline, emphasizing the need for economic "privatization" through tariffs aimed at increasing industrial capacity and job creation[1] - Trump announced that Ukrainian President Zelensky is expected to visit the U.S. for an agreement, while Russia demands Ukraine's military surrender and territorial concessions as conditions for a ceasefire[1] - Copper prices surged over 3% as Trump ordered an investigation into U.S. copper imports, indicating potential tariffs due to national security concerns[1] Commodity Market Performance - Domestic commodity futures closed mostly lower, with crude oil down 2.19% and glass down 2.16%[2] - Basic metals saw declines, with aluminum down 1.21% and stainless steel down 0.91%[2] - Agricultural products also fell, with soybean meal down 1.34% and vegetable oil down 1.09%[2] Global Asset Performance Overview - NYMEX crude oil closed at $69.12, down 2.52% daily and 11.42% year-on-year[4] - LME copper closed at $9,395.00, down 1.13% daily but up 8.63% year-on-year[4] - COMEX gold closed at $2,928.60, down 1.36% daily but up 35.34% year-on-year[4] Bond Market Insights - The 10-year Chinese government bond yield is at 1.75%, down 0.57% daily and down 25.31% year-on-year[4] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is at 4.40%, down 0.02% daily and up 0.30% year-on-year[4] - The China-U.S. interest rate differential stands at -2.65, reflecting a slight increase of 0.01%[4] Currency and Forex Trends - The U.S. Dollar Index is at 106.28, down 0.36% daily and up 3.25% year-on-year[4] - The offshore RMB is trading at 7.25 against the U.S. dollar, showing a minor increase of 0.01%[4] - The Euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate is at 1.05, up 0.44% daily but down 3.77% year-on-year[4]