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欢聚:YY Live出售交易完成,关注后续股东回馈计划,上调至买入-20250227
YYJOYY(YY) 交银国际证券·2025-02-27 02:32

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating for the company to "Buy" [2][4][12] Core Views - The completion of the YY Live sale transaction is a significant event, with a total consideration of 2.1billion,whichincludes2.1 billion, which includes 1.86 billion received in 2021 and an additional 240millionfromtherecenttransaction[7]Thecompanyhasover240 million from the recent transaction [7] - The company has over 3.3 billion in net cash on hand, translating to a cash value of 58pershare[7]TheimpactofproductdelistingonQ4revenueisexpectedtobelimited,withaforecastofa358 per share [7] - The impact of product delisting on Q4 revenue is expected to be limited, with a forecast of a 3% year-on-year decline in revenue and a 10% increase in adjusted operating profit for Q4 [7] - The revenue forecast for Q1 2025 and the full year has been reduced by 7% and 5% respectively due to seasonal impacts and adjustments in non-core voice live streaming business [7] - The valuation has been adjusted to a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) method, raising the target price to 63, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price [7] Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to decline from 2,412millionin2022to2,412 million in 2022 to 2,268 million in 2023, with a slight recovery to 2,376millionby2026[3][14]Netprofitisexpectedtoincreasefrom2,376 million by 2026 [3][14] - Net profit is expected to increase from 199 million in 2022 to 293millionin2023,withagradualincreaseto293 million in 2023, with a gradual increase to 282 million by 2026 [3][14] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 2.54in2022to2.54 in 2022 to 4.16 in 2023, reaching 5.84by2026[3][14]Thecompanymaintainsahealthybalancesheetwithaprojectedcashandcashequivalentsof5.84 by 2026 [3][14] - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a projected cash and cash equivalents of 1,597 million in 2025 [14][15] Market Performance - The stock closed at 52.08withatargetpriceof52.08 with a target price of 63.00, reflecting a potential upside of 21% [1][12] - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 24.44% [6]