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Sea Ltd ADR:电商盈利改善,指引保持强劲,重申“买入”评级-20250306
SESea(SE) 浦银国际证券·2025-03-06 07:42

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sea (SE.US) and raises the target price to 165[4][6].CoreInsightsThecompanysrevenueforQ42024reached165 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q4 2024 reached 4.95 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.9%, exceeding market expectations by 6.1% [2]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was 590million,withanadjustedEBITDAmarginof11.9590 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.9% [2]. - The adjusted net profit for Q4 2024 was 410 million, with an adjusted net profit margin of 8.3% [2]. - The e-commerce segment showed profitability improvement, with a projected GMV growth rate of 20% for 2025 [2][4]. - Digital financial services revenue grew by 55.2% year-on-year in Q4 2024, driven primarily by credit business [3]. - Digital entertainment revenue turned positive with a 1.2% year-on-year increase in Q4 2024, and the company expects double-digit growth in 2025 [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY23, the company reported total revenue of 13.064billion,withprojectionsof13.064 billion, with projections of 16.820 billion for FY24 and 20.854billionforFY25[5].TheadjustedEBITDAisexpectedtogrowatacompoundannualgrowthrate(CAGR)of3520.854 billion for FY25 [5]. - The adjusted EBITDA is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35% from FY24 to FY27E [4]. - The net profit is projected to increase from 151 million in FY23 to 1.450billioninFY25[12].MarketPositionandValuationThecurrentmarketpriceis1.450 billion in FY25 [12]. Market Position and Valuation - The current market price is 132.31, with a potential upside of 25% to the target price of 165[7].Thecompanyhasatotalmarketcapitalizationof165 [7]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 75.726 billion [7]. - The report indicates that the company’s various business segments are maintaining strong growth trajectories, particularly in e-commerce and digital financial services [4].