科德数控：深耕高端数控机床，核心部件自主可控-20250307

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for potential price appreciation [3][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading innovative enterprise in the domestic high-end CNC machine tool sector, with a dual R&D system for high-end CNC systems and five-axis CNC machine tools, benefiting from the rapid growth of industries such as aerospace and new energy vehicles [3]. - The company has achieved significant revenue and profit growth, with a CAGR of 34.9% from 2017 to 2024, and a net profit CAGR of 51.6% during the same period [3]. - The domestic high-end manufacturing upgrade and equipment renewal are driving the growth of the five-axis CNC machine tool industry, with increasing demand from the aviation sector [3][5]. - The company has successfully achieved domestic substitution for high-end machine tools, with a self-sufficiency rate of 85% for five-axis CNC machine tools [5]. - The company maintains a gross margin of 42%, significantly higher than the industry average of 25.4%, due to its focus on high-end products and self-developed core components [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in high-end CNC machine tools, with a product matrix that includes various types of machining centers and specialized processing centers [3]. - The company has a market capitalization of 77.92 billion yuan and a current share price of 76.62 yuan, with a target price set at 90 yuan [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 605 million yuan in 2024 to 1,006 million yuan in 2026, with net profit expected to increase from 130 million yuan in 2024 to 218 million yuan in 2026 [7][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.28 yuan in 2024 to 2.15 yuan in 2026, reflecting strong growth potential [7]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-end CNC machine tools in the domestic market, particularly in the aerospace sector, which is expected to see significant growth in the coming years [3][5]. - The company has a robust order book, with new orders increasing by 24% year-over-year in 2024, indicating strong market demand [5].