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光伏设备行业点评:BC电池扩产加速,设备环节率先受益
申万宏源·2025-03-10 03:43

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (看好) indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [11]. Core Insights - The BC battery technology shows promising conversion efficiency and reliable product quality, with Hi-MO9 components demonstrating a 7.74% higher cumulative power generation compared to TOPCon components [5]. - The penetration rate of BC batteries is expected to increase due to multiple factors, including improved battery conversion efficiency, cost reductions from economies of scale, and advancements in technology and processes [5]. - The value of equipment for BC batteries is high, particularly in laser, thermal processing, and coating equipment, which are expected to benefit significantly from the growth in BC battery production [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The Hi-MO9 component using BC second-generation technology has shown a 1.01% increase in power generation capability per kilowatt compared to TOPCon, with daily peaks reaching 1.73% [5]. - The total power generation of Hi-MO9 components was 1260.59 kWh, surpassing TOPCon's 1170.03 kWh [5]. Market Drivers - The production efficiency of HPBC2.0 batteries has exceeded 26.6%, with expectations for further improvements [5]. - Cost reductions are anticipated as BC production scales up, alongside ongoing research into cost-cutting technologies [5]. Key Companies - Notable companies in the sector include: - Dier Laser (帝尔激光): A core supplier of laser equipment for photovoltaic applications, with a comprehensive technology layout and ongoing orders from leading companies [5]. - Haimu Star (海目星): Focused on laser and automation, has developed BC large spot laser opening equipment [5]. - Inno Laser (英诺激光): Emerging player in laser equipment with successful mass production verification for efficiency-enhancing devices [5]. - Laplace (拉普拉斯): Core supplier of thermal processing and coating equipment for XBC battery production lines, collaborating with major companies [5]. Valuation Metrics - The valuation metrics for key companies are as follows: - Dier Laser: Market cap of 179.97 billion, projected net profit for 2025 is 7.39 billion with a PE ratio of 24 [6]. - Haimu Star: Market cap of 81.77 billion, projected net profit for 2025 is 3.78 billion with a PE ratio of 22 [6]. - Inno Laser: Market cap of 45.78 billion, projected net profit for 2025 is 0.48 billion with a PE ratio of 95 [6]. - Laplace: Market cap of 200.31 billion, projected net profit for 2025 is 7.81 billion with a PE ratio of 26 [6].