Make Others Great Again?

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The U.S. job market shows weakness with employment data underperforming expectations, indicating a stagnation in growth and rising inflation[5] - In Europe, the "Whatever it takes" narrative resurfaces with Germany announcing a €500 billion infrastructure fund, approximately 12% of its GDP, boosting market sentiment[18] - Eurozone economic data outperformed expectations, with service PMI continuing to expand and manufacturing PMI slightly exceeding market forecasts[18] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The report suggests a cautious approach towards European recovery narratives, advising to observe rather than engage actively[1] - The euro/dollar exchange rate has seen a significant weekly increase, the largest in 16 years, indicating potential for technical adjustments[19] - Long-term capital inflows into the stock market are expected to accelerate, with insurance companies allocating 30% of new premiums to equity investments, totaling ¥112 billion approved in 2025[14] Group 3: Fiscal and Monetary Policies - The central government plans to maintain a deficit rate of around 4%, the highest in recent years, to provide ample policy space for economic stability[13] - Monetary policy is expected to shift towards a more accommodative stance, with interest rate cuts anticipated to exceed those of 2024[13] - The government aims to enhance consumer spending through initiatives like trade-in programs and increased support for service consumption[12]