Workflow
2025年政府工作报告点评:精读政策 寻找投资热点
CHIEF SECURITIES·2025-03-12 01:24

Economic Overview - The economic situation for 2025 is clearer, with increased challenges and a focus on boosting domestic demand[3] - The GDP growth target is set at around 5%, consistent with the previous year, to address employment and risk prevention[6] - The CPI target is adjusted to around 2%, down by 1 percentage point from the previous year, reflecting low inflation pressure[6] Fiscal Policy - The fiscal deficit rate is increased to 4.0%, up by 1 percentage point from last year, with a total deficit amount of CNY 5.66 trillion, an increase of CNY 1.6 trillion[6] - Total public budget expenditure is CNY 29.7 trillion, an increase of CNY 1.2 trillion from the previous year[7] - Special government bonds issuance is set at CNY 1.3 trillion, up by CNY 300 billion from last year, aimed at major strategic projects[9] Employment and Social Stability - The target for urban new employment is set at over 12 million, consistent with the previous year, to address the employment pressure from a record high of 12.22 million college graduates[6] - The urban survey unemployment rate is targeted at around 5.5%, maintaining the same level as last year[6] Investment and Infrastructure - Central budget investment is planned at CNY 735 billion, an increase of CNY 35 billion from last year, emphasizing effective investment[12] - Local government special bonds are set at CNY 4.4 trillion, an increase of CNY 500 billion, focusing on infrastructure and social projects[9] Real Estate Market - Policies will be implemented to stabilize the real estate market, including reducing restrictive measures and promoting the renovation of old housing[12] - The focus will remain on managing existing real estate inventory while controlling new land supply[12]