Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is 5.1 out of 10, based on operational performance, industry outlook, valuation, and market sentiment [9][11]. Core Insights - The company, Nanshan Aluminum International, is a major alumina manufacturer in Southeast Asia, holding a market share of 34.9% in the region. It has a designed production capacity of 2 million tons of alumina and is expanding its capacity with new projects expected to start operations in 2025 and 2026 [1][2]. - The company's revenue has shown rapid growth, with a CAGR of 98% from 2021 to 2023, and gross margins have improved significantly due to rising alumina prices [2]. - The global aluminum market is projected to grow, particularly in the construction, transportation, electrical, and packaging sectors, with Southeast Asia expected to see strong growth rates [3]. Company Overview - Nanshan Aluminum International is one of the top three alumina producers in Southeast Asia, with its largest customer being Press Metal Group, accounting for over 50% of its revenue [1]. - The company is controlled by Nanshan Aluminum, a publicly listed company in A-shares, which will hold a 60.09% stake post-IPO [1]. Financial Performance - The company's revenues for the years 2021, 2022, 2023, and the first nine months of 2024 were 466.8 million, 683.0 million, respectively. The gross margins for these periods were 25.9%, 24%, 29.2%, and 46.3% [2]. Industry Status and Outlook - The alumina market in Southeast Asia is expected to grow, with design capacities projected to increase from 5.6 million tons in 2023 to 8.6 million tons by 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 6.8% [3]. - The demand for aluminum is anticipated to rise in various sectors, with the construction industry in Southeast Asia expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.7% from 2023 to 2028 [3]. Advantages and Opportunities - The company benefits from a strong position in the alumina industry, stable raw material supply, and robust policy support, which enhance operational efficiency and profitability [4]. - The company adheres to international ESG governance standards, promoting sustainable development [4]. Use of Proceeds - Approximately 90% of the net proceeds from the IPO will be used for the development and construction of alumina production projects in Indonesia, aiming to expand total alumina capacity to 4 million tons [6].
南山铝业国际：IPO点评报告-20250320