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《深圳市宏观经济专题研究报告》智研咨询发布
Zhi Yan Zi Xun·2025-04-23 23:35

Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable investment outlook for Shenzhen's economy, with a focus on high-tech industries and strategic emerging sectors [5][9][27]. Core Insights - Shenzhen's GDP reached 25,934.28 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, despite a slight decline from the previous half-year [9][11]. - The industrial sector remains a key driver of economic growth, with a notable increase in high-tech manufacturing and strategic emerging industries [12][13]. - Fixed asset investment grew by 4.7% year-on-year, with significant contributions from high-tech manufacturing investments [27][28]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Overview - The economy of Shenzhen is characterized by a strong industrial base and a recovering service sector, with the second industry contributing significantly to GDP growth [9][12]. - The eastern regions of Shenzhen, particularly the Deep-Shan Special Cooperation Zone, showed remarkable growth rates, while central districts faced slower growth due to service sector challenges [11][12]. Industrial Performance - Industrial production in Shenzhen grew by 10.2% year-on-year, with high-tech manufacturing leading the growth [13][15]. - New energy sectors such as 3D printing and service robots exhibited rapid growth, indicating successful cultivation of new economic drivers [14][15]. Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Shenzhen increased by 4.7%, with industrial investment growing at a robust 29.7% [27][28]. - High-tech manufacturing investment surged by 42.2%, particularly in electronics and communication equipment [27][28]. Domestic Trade - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 7,731.62 billion yuan, with a modest year-on-year growth of 0.7% [34][36]. - Online retail sales continued to grow, contributing positively to overall consumption despite challenges in traditional retail sectors [34][36]. Foreign Trade - Shenzhen's total import and export volume reached 33,720.85 billion yuan, marking a 20.9% year-on-year increase, setting a historical record for the same period [36][37]. - The trade structure is improving, with a higher proportion of general trade, indicating resilience in the face of external economic pressures [37][38]. Transportation Sector - The transportation market showed a recovery in passenger transport, with a 10.9% increase in passenger volume, while freight transport faced challenges [38][41]. - Port operations remained robust, with significant growth in cargo throughput, reflecting strong external trade activity [38][41]. Financial Sector - The financial market in Shenzhen remained stable, with total deposits reaching 13.61 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [43][44]. - The banking sector showed healthy growth, with a notable increase in securities and insurance sectors, contributing to the overall financial stability [44]. Price Trends - Consumer prices in Shenzhen experienced a mild increase of 0.1%, indicating a stable inflation environment [47].