DOUBLE ARROW(SZ:002381)2025-05-06 03:10Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 7.84, based on a current price of RMB 6.39 [2][10]. Core Views - The company's recurring net profit declined by 37.70% year-on-year in FY2024, attributed to increased rubber prices and significant depreciation from newly launched projects [6][10]. - The company achieved an operating income of RMB 2.713 billion in FY2024, a 4.64% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 154 million, down 36.49% year-on-year [6][10]. - The company is actively expanding its international market presence, with overseas revenue accounting for 19.87% of total income in 2024, reflecting a 19.81% year-on-year increase [8][10]. - Ongoing construction projects are progressing well, with future conveyor belt production capacity expected to reach 150 million square meters [9][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of approximately RMB 82.32 million, which is 53.60% of the net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 [7][10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 3.218 billion in 2025, RMB 3.906 billion in 2026, and RMB 4.572 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits of RMB 231 million, RMB 336 million, and RMB 410 million respectively [5][10]. - The company’s diluted EPS is expected to be RMB 0.56 in 2025, RMB 0.82 in 2026, and RMB 1.00 in 2027 [5][10]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 17.6% in 2024 to 19.6% by 2027 [5][10].