Double Medical(002901)2025-05-07 13:35Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][13]. Core Views - The company has emerged from the impact of centralized procurement, achieving strong growth on a low base in its traditional orthopedic segment, and successfully expanding into new business areas [1][5]. - The forecasted EPS for 2025-2026 is RMB 1.24 and RMB 1.64, with a new forecast for 2027 at RMB 1.99. A target PE of 36X for 2025 is set, leading to a target price of RMB 44.64 [5][13]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 2.14 billion, a year-on-year increase of 39.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 357 million, reflecting a 505% increase [5][14]. - For Q1 2025, revenue is projected at RMB 550 million, up 28.8%, with a net profit of RMB 103 million, an increase of 67% [5][14]. - The company’s revenue growth is attributed to the clearing of inventory adjustments from previous centralized procurement impacts, leading to a strong performance in 2024 [5][14]. Business Segments - The core orthopedic product lines, including trauma and spine products, have shown continued sales growth post-centralized procurement, with trauma sales revenue in 2024 expected to reach RMB 821 million, a 43.4% increase [5][15]. - Non-orthopedic consumables are also experiencing good growth, with the company aiming to become a medical equipment platform, investing heavily in R&D [5][16].