NOPOSION(SZ:002215)2025-05-10 00:30Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 13.80, based on a projected 15x PE for 2025 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 585 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 148.10%. The net profit after non-recurring items grew by 167.68% to RMB 511 million [1][9]. - Revenue for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 5.29 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.37%. In Q4 2024, revenue surged to RMB 1.39 billion, marking a quarter-on-quarter increase of 182.01% and a year-on-year increase of 31.44% [1][9]. - Fresh product sales volume increased by 99.17% year-on-year, reaching 49,206.57 tons [1][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s financial projections for 2025-2027 indicate net profits of RMB 926 million, RMB 1.31 billion, and RMB 1.60 billion, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.92, RMB 1.30, and RMB 1.59 [3][9]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends totaling approximately RMB 352 million for 2024, with a payout ratio of 60.18% [1][9]. - The company has a net asset return rate projected to increase from 15.3% in 2024 to 28.4% by 2027 [3][9]. Yield and Land Resources - The company’s yield per acre is expected to grow from 1.3 tons/acre in the 2023/2024 season to over 1.4 tons/acre in the 2024/2025 season, driven by tree age and improved agricultural techniques [10]. - The company has transferred approximately 56,000 acres of land, with an expected production area of 35,000-40,000 acres by the 2025/2026 season [10].