TMT(SH:600458) Shanxi Securities·2025-05-14 07:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [3][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 20.055 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.35%, and a net profit of 445 million yuan, up 15.20% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 6.989 billion yuan, marking a 41.61% increase year-on-year and a 58.67% increase quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. - The wind power industry is thriving, with the company's wind blade sales reaching 21.22 GW in 2024, a 33.54% increase year-on-year, generating revenue of 8.2 billion yuan, up 22.37% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 continued this trend with revenue of 1.718 billion yuan, a 29.88% increase year-on-year [3][4]. - The automotive parts segment achieved a record high revenue of 7.101 billion yuan in 2024, a 3.51% increase year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.668 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.75% year-on-year [4]. - The rail transit segment reported a revenue of 2.355 billion yuan in 2024, a 25.60% increase year-on-year, with both domestic and overseas markets reaching historical highs [5][6]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.639 billion yuan, 24.583 billion yuan, and 26.628 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 12.9%, 8.6%, and 8.3% respectively. Net profits are expected to reach 691 million yuan, 867 million yuan, and 1.063 billion yuan, with growth rates of 55.3%, 25.5%, and 22.6% respectively [7][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.84 yuan, 1.05 yuan, and 1.29 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.1, 11.2, and 9.1 [7][9].