《金融》日评-20250515

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given reports. Core Viewpoints - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the reports. The reports mainly provide data on various financial products such as futures spreads, prices, and related indicators. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - IF期现价差 & 跨期价差: The IF spot - futures spread is -35.81, up 45 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 10.20% and an all - time quantile of 8.60%. For IF inter - period spreads, e.g., the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts is -35.60, up 5.40, with a 1 - year quantile of 2.00% and an all - time quantile of 9.10% [1]. - IH期现价差 & 跨期价差: The IH spot - futures spread is -16.18, up 3.67, with a 1 - year quantile of 15.90% and an all - time quantile of 11.90%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IH is -18.40, up 2.00, with a 1 - year quantile of 11.00% and an all - time quantile of 11.80% [1]. - IC期现价差 & 跨期价差: The IC spot - futures spread is -101.32, up 25.75, with a 1 - year quantile of 6.50% and an all - time quantile of 3.20%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IC is -102.20, up 10.40, with a 1 - year quantile of 0.80% and an all - time quantile of 2.30% [1]. - IM期现价差 & 跨期价差: The IM spot - futures spread is -117.37, up 37.04, with a 1 - year quantile of 90.00% and an all - time quantile of 6.00%. The spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IM is -113.60, up 16.60, with a 1 - year quantile of 15.00% and an all - time quantile of 0.70% [1]. - 跨品种比值: Ratios like CSI 500/HS300 is 1.4707, down 0.0132, with a 1 - year quantile of 45.00% and an all - time quantile of 36.10%. IC/IF is 1.4582, down 0.0101, with a 1 - year quantile of 40.50% and an all - time quantile of 48.90% [1]. 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - 基差: TS basis is 1.3819, down 0.0297, with an all - time quantile of 16.00%. TF basis is 1.1686, up 0.1050, with an all - time quantile of 41.60%. T basis is -0.0631, up 0.2955, with an all - time quantile of 3.60% [5]. - 跨期价差: For TS inter - period spreads, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is -0.1280, up 0.0420, with an all - time quantile of 6.80%. For TF, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts is -0.2700, up 0.0400, with an all - time quantile of 10.20% [5]. - 跨品种价差: TS - TF is 0.0910, up 0.0470, with an all - time quantile of 4.70%. TS - T is -6.2430, up 0.1260, with an all - time quantile of 4.00% [5]. 3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - 国内期货收盘价: The closing price of the AU2506 contract is 761.72, down 5.96, with a decline rate of -0.78%. The AG2506 contract is 8195, down 24, with a decline rate of -0.29% [8]. - 外盘期货收盘价: The closing price of the COMEX gold main contract is 3180.70, down 73.80, with a decline rate of -2.27%. The COMEX silver main contract is 32.39, down 0.70, with a decline rate of -2.12% [8]. - 现货价格: London gold is 3176.58, down 72.90, with a decline rate of -2.24%. London silver is 32.20, down 0.69, with a decline rate of -2.10% [8]. - 基差: The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is -3.12, up 1.16, with a 1 - year quantile of 21.20%. The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is -23, down 18, with a 1 - year quantile of 43.70% [8]. - 比价: COMEX gold/silver is 98.20, down 0.15, with a decline rate of -0.16%. SHFE gold/silver is 92.95, down 0.45, with a decline rate of -0.49% [8]. - 利率与汇率: The 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.49, up 0.04, with an increase rate of 0.9%. The US dollar index is 101.07, up 0.08, with an increase rate of 0.08% [8]. - 库存与持仓: The SHFE gold inventory is 17238, unchanged. The SHFE silver inventory is 919463, down 12721, with a decline rate of -1.36% [8]. 4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - 现货报价: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate is 1547, down 4, with a decline rate of -0.26%. CMA CGM's is 2534, up 107, with an increase rate of 4.41% [9]. - 集运指数: The settlement price index of SCFIS (European route) is 1302.62, down 76.5, with a decline rate of -5.54%. SCFIS (US West route) is 1455.31, up 134.6, with an increase rate of 10.19% [9]. - 期货价格及基差: The price of EC2602 is 1518.3, up 103.8, with an increase rate of 7.34%. The basis of the main contract (EC2506) is -423.4, down 337.3, with a change rate of 391.56% [9]. - 基本面数据: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3223.63 million TEU, up 1.12 million TEU, with an increase rate of 0.03%. Shanghai port's on - time rate is 29.02, down 4.41, with a decline rate of -13.19% [9]. 5. Trading Calendar - 海外数据/资讯: Eurozone's Q1 GDP annual revised rate, seasonally - adjusted employment quarterly final rate, and other economic indicators are to be released at specific times. The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 10th and other data are also scheduled [11]. - 国内数据/资讯: There are 1250 billion yuan of 1 - year MLF and 1586 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases due today. Shandong local refinery capacity utilization rate and other industry - related data are to be released at different times [11].