Investment Rating - Infineon: Buy [34] - STMicroelectronics: Buy [34] - Rohm: Neutral [34] - Onsemi: Neutral [34] Core Insights - The competitive threat from China in the power semiconductor market has intensified, with pricing for power electronics declining by 15% to 50% year-on-year in 2024, and continuing to decline in 2025, albeit at a slower rate [1] - Lean inventories are expected to support the market in the short to medium term, with most companies anticipating inventory clearance by the end of Q3 2025 [1] - Adoption of silicon carbide (SiC) is projected to accelerate in H2 2025 and 2026, although pricing pressures remain significant, particularly in the substrate segment [1] - Gallium nitride (GaN) adoption is expected to ramp up in 2026/27, driven by applications in onboard chargers and the server market, particularly with the rise of AI [1] Summary by Sections Competitive Landscape - China represents approximately 20-30% of revenues for most Western companies, with pricing now 10-20% lower than Western prices, indicating a narrowing gap [2] - The competitive threat from China is becoming more tangible, prompting Western companies to focus on higher-value products [2] Market Dynamics - The power semiconductor market is supported by strong fundamentals, particularly in electrification and the demand for high voltage applications such as electric vehicles (EVs) and data centers [3] - The overall sentiment from the power conference indicates a positive setup for H2 2025 and 2026, benefiting companies with diversified portfolios focused on high voltage applications [3] Company-Specific Insights - Infineon and STMicroelectronics are viewed positively due to their strong market positions and diversified portfolios [3] - Companies like Starpower are experiencing significant pricing pressures, with SiC product prices down 30-50% in 2024, impacting gross margins [17] - The shift towards GaN solutions is seen as critical for meeting the power density requirements of AI servers, with a focus on integrated solutions rather than discrete components [14]
瑞银:半导体行业:在一场大型功率半导体会议上的三点收获
2025-05-15 15:24