瑞银：英飞凌-更多迹象表明行业上行周期将至，建议买入

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Infineon Technologies AG with a 12-month price target of €41.00, down from a previous target of €43.00 [8][6]. Core Insights - Infineon is showing initial signs of an upcycle, with year-over-year revenue growth for the first time in two years in FQ325. The company has conservatively adjusted its FY'25 guidance, which may allow for potential upgrades as the cycle improves [2][3]. - Despite tariff and currency headwinds, Infineon's idiosyncratic drivers remain strong, particularly in AI-related demand and exposure to the Chinese EV market, which is expected to offset weaknesses in Western markets [4][3]. - The company is experiencing some pricing pressure, particularly in standard power components and the industrial market, but gross margins are holding steady at around 41% [5][3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY'25 are set at €14.640 billion, reflecting a slight decline from the previous year, with expected revenues of €16.421 billion in FY'26 and €18.516 billion in FY'27 [7][20]. - The report anticipates a decrease in EPS for FY'25 to €1.40, down from a previous estimate of €1.57, with further reductions for FY'26 and FY'27 [9][14]. - Gross margin is expected to remain around 40% for FY'25, with a gradual increase to 41.3% by FY'27 [5][20]. Market Position and Valuation - Infineon is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 17x for FY'26 estimates, compared to a historical average of 19x, indicating potential value in the stock [2][6]. - The company has a market capitalization of €40.3 billion and operates with a free float of 100% [8][6]. - The report highlights a strong order intake, which remains flat quarter-over-quarter despite external pressures, suggesting resilience in demand [3][4].