Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co Ltd [3] Core Insights - The company is recognized for its self-help story regarding enterprise business growth and overseas expansion, demonstrating efficient synergies across newly acquired assets [2] - The current trading valuation is at 4.4x 12M forward P/B, which is -1 standard deviation compared to its historical average, reflecting market concerns about the NAND cycle amid macro uncertainties [2] - Key catalysts to monitor include major suppliers' utilization rate decisions for the second half of 2025, as continued supply discipline could positively influence pricing trends in the upcoming quarters [2] Financial Overview - The company anticipates its enterprise business (eSSD+RDIMM) revenue to double this year to RMB 2 billion, with a target of RMB 10 billion revenue contribution from this segment by 2027, representing 50% of its estimated revenue for 2025 [5] - Revenue projections for the next few years are as follows: RMB 17,463 million in 2024, RMB 21,830 million in 2025, RMB 29,282 million in 2026, and RMB 34,844 million in 2027 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are projected to increase from RMB 1.22 in 2024 to RMB 5.58 by 2027 [3] Market Dynamics - Positive pricing trends are expected into the second and third quarters of 2025, with inventory levels remaining healthy among smartphone customers [5] - The company is focusing on overseas expansion, with Zilia targeting a 50% year-over-year revenue growth and Lexar aiming for a 30% year-over-year increase [5]
摩根士丹利：江波龙-2025 年中国国际电池技术交流会 展览会（BEST）反馈