置地公司（HKL）：香港置地（HKL SP）：买入业务转型开局良好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hongkong Land (HKL) with a revised target price of USD6.00, up from USD5.23, indicating an upside potential of approximately 18.6% from the current share price of USD5.06 as of May 13, 2025 [5][8][78]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the share price of Hongkong Land has increased by 50% since May 2024, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 27 percentage points, and suggests that the market has not fully accounted for the potential of the company's new corporate strategy announced in October 2024 [2][23]. - The new strategy focuses on simplifying the business by developing premium integrated commercial properties in key Asian cities and targeting long-term recurring income growth [3][37]. - The report identifies four key factors that support a positive outlook for HKL: successful office divestments showcasing capital recycling capabilities, the beginning of a 10-year transformation plan, sustainable dividend growth supported by rental income, and a shift away from being solely a proxy for prime Central office space [3][4][51]. Financial Performance and Projections - The report revises earnings estimates for 2025-2027, with a slight increase of 1.6% for 2025, a decrease of 2.2% for 2026, and a decrease of 0.8% for 2027, reflecting earnings accretion from recent office sales [5][76]. - The estimated NAV per share has been increased to USD10.00 from USD9.18, reflecting an 8.9% increase, while the NAV discount has been narrowed to 40% from 43% [5][77][78]. - The projected dividend per share (DPS) is expected to grow from USD0.23 in 2024 to USD0.44 by 2035, with a payout ratio of 60-80% of recurring income [43][45]. Strategic Initiatives - The report emphasizes the importance of capital recycling, with a target to recycle up to USD10 billion by 2035 and at least USD4 billion by 2027, of which USD1.2 billion has already been recycled as of April 2025 [4][58]. - A share buyback program of USD200 million was initiated in April 2025, with potential for expansion if divestment targets are met [4][59]. - The company aims to double its recurring underlying profit before interest and tax (PBIT) by 2035 and grow its assets under management (AUM) to USD100 billion [45][36]. Market Positioning - The report notes that HKL is transitioning away from being perceived solely as a Central office landlord, with its Central commercial portfolio now accounting for 47% of its valuation, down from two-thirds a decade ago [3][52]. - The company is focusing on high-end commercial properties and has ceased investments in the build-to-sell segment, reallocating capital to integrated commercial property opportunities [37][38].