云南白药：核心业务增长稳健，利润端增长超预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][12]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in its core business, with profit growth exceeding expectations due to a strong industrial segment and effective cost control [1][8][10]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 10.841 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.935 billion yuan, up 13.67% year-on-year [2][8]. Financial Performance - Key financial indicators for the company are as follows: - Revenue (million yuan): 39,111 in 2023, projected to reach 41,691 in 2025E, with a CAGR of 4.1% [3]. - Net profit (million yuan): 4,094 in 2023, projected to reach 5,124 in 2025E, with a CAGR of 7.9% [3]. - Gross margin: Expected to increase from 26.5% in 2023 to 28.5% in 2025E [3]. - Net margin: Expected to rise from 10.5% in 2023 to 12.3% in 2025E [3]. - ROE: Expected to improve from 10.3% in 2023 to 12.8% in 2025E [3]. - EPS: Projected to grow from 2.29 yuan in 2023 to 2.87 yuan in 2025E [3]. Business Segments - The company is focusing on enhancing its core product lines, particularly in the pharmaceutical division, which is expected to achieve steady growth driven by its flagship products [9][10]. - The health products division is anticipated to maintain stable operations despite industry pressures, with innovations in oral care and hair care products [9][10]. - The traditional Chinese medicine resources division is expected to grow due to ongoing brand development and market leadership in specific herbal products [9][10]. Future Outlook - The company aims to solidify its main business while exploring new growth opportunities in emerging sectors such as health supplements and medical devices [10][12]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 41.691 billion yuan, 43.593 billion yuan, and 45.734 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 5.124 billion yuan, 5.622 billion yuan, and 6.203 billion yuan [12].