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Haitong International·2025-05-21 09:34

Group 1: Strategic Agreements and Investments - On May 13, 2025, strategic agreements totaling 600billionwereannouncedduringTrumpsvisittoSaudiArabia,coveringsectorslikedefense,energy,andAI[1]TheAIinfrastructurebuildoutinSaudiArabiaisestimatedtorequireatotalinvestmentof600 billion were announced during Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia, covering sectors like defense, energy, and AI[1] - The AI infrastructure buildout in Saudi Arabia is estimated to require a total investment of 35 billion for a 500MW scale, which could represent 10-15% of global AI infrastructure growth over 2025/2026[2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - The Middle East is positioned to become a key non-China AI demand center for U.S. chipmakers, with Nvidia's initial GPU shipment potentially generating 3billion[2]TheglobalAIinfrastructuretotaladdressablemarket(TAM)isprojectedtoreach3 billion[2] - The global AI infrastructure total addressable market (TAM) is projected to reach 700 billion by CY28, with 20% (140billion)tiedtoChina,whichremainsrestrictedunderU.S.exportcontrols[4]Theremaining80140 billion) tied to China, which remains restricted under U.S. export controls[4] - The remaining 80% (~560 billion) is accessible, with 50% driven by U.S. market demand ($350 billion) and significant contributions from APAC and EMEA regions[4] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - Key risks include weak demand, supply constraints, and peer competition in the AI infrastructure market[6] - The relaxation of U.S. export controls allows for the export of up to 500,000 advanced AI chips to the Middle East annually, creating a new multibillion-dollar market for Nvidia and AMD[3]