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小鹏汽车-W:小鹏汽车2025年4月销量点评:销量企稳增长,超充/AI/全球全面加速-20250522
Guolian Securities·2025-05-22 02:20

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][14]. Core Insights - In April 2025, the company delivered 35,045 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 273% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. The projected sales for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 524,000, 786,000, and 966,000 vehicles respectively, with corresponding revenues of 97.76 billion, 158.1 billion, and 197.07 billion yuan, indicating growth rates of 139.2%, 61.7%, and 24.7% [3][14]. - The launch of high-quality models is expected to mark a turning point in sales, while advancements in smart driving technology are anticipated to help reverse financial performance. Collaboration with Volkswagen is expected to leverage technological leadership to realize revenue [3][14]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In April 2025, the company achieved a delivery of 35,045 vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 273% and a month-on-month growth of 6%. The MONA M03 model has accumulated over 100,000 deliveries in 8 months, and the P7+ model has reached 50,000 units in 5 months [11][12]. Product Development - The company is set to mass-produce the Turing chip in Q2, enhancing its smart driving capabilities. The XNGP AI-assisted driving system has achieved an 84% user penetration rate. The company is also developing a large-scale AI model with 720 billion parameters [12][14]. Global Expansion - The 2025 X9 model received significant acclaim, achieving 6,000 orders within 7 days of launch in mainland China. The company also secured over 1,500 orders in various Asia-Pacific regions, indicating strong overseas market performance [13][14]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 97.76 billion, 158.1 billion, and 197.07 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits projected at 120 million, 6 billion, and 9.42 billion yuan respectively [14][15].