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大越期货股指期货早报-20250526
Da Yue Qi Huo·2025-05-26 01:54
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On Friday, the A - share market saw an intraday decline. Financial technology and gaming concept stocks had significant pull - backs, while the automotive, gold, and medical sectors led the gains. The overall index is expected to oscillate. With the LPR and deposit rates cut and three - quarters of A - share listed companies achieving profitability in the 2024 annual reports, the market lacks a short - term main line and will mainly move in an oscillatory manner [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market 3.1.1 Index Futures Quotes - IH2506 had a contract price of 2,693.00, a decline of 0.82%, and a volume of 39,517. It was at a discount of 18.85 points to the index. - IF2506 had a contract price of 3,846.20, a decline of 0.88%, and a volume of 78,281. It was at a discount of 36.07 points. - IC2506 had a contract price of 5,561.80, a decline of 0.95%, and a volume of 67,871. It was at a discount of 91.24 points. - IM2506 had a contract price of 5,872.00, a decline of 1.30%, and a volume of 167,101. It was at a discount of 117.68 points [3]. 3.1.2 Basis and Spread - The document shows the historical basis and spread data of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 50 and CSI 500 index futures from 2021 to 2025, which can be used to analyze the price relationship between different contracts and the underlying index [5][8]. 3.2 Spot Market 3.2.1 Important Index Daily Returns - Most important indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai 50, and CSI 300 showed declines on the day, with the CSI 1000 having a relatively large decline of 1.30% [11]. 3.2.2 Style Index Daily Returns - Different style indices, including the 300 Cycle, 300 Non - Cycle, and low - P/E ratio indices, also showed varying degrees of decline [14]. 3.2.3 Industry Index Daily Returns - Industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and the automotive industry had positive returns, while most industries like media and communication had negative returns [17][18]. 3.3 Market Structure 3.3.1 AH - Share Premium - The document shows the historical data of the Hang Seng AH Premium Index from August 2024 to May 2025, reflecting the price difference between A - shares and H - shares [21]. 3.3.2 Price - to - Earnings Ratio (PE) and Price - to - Book Ratio (PB) - It presents the historical PE and PB data of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext indices, which helps in analyzing the valuation levels of different indices [24][26]. 3.4 Market Fundamentals 3.4.1 Stock Market Fund Inflows - The document shows the historical data of A - share fund net inflows and the CSI 300 index from May 2021 to May 2025, which can be used to analyze the relationship between market funds and the index [28]. 3.4.2 Margin Trading Balance - It shows the historical data of margin trading balance and the CSI 300 index from May 2021 to April 2025, reflecting the impact of margin trading on the market [30]. 3.4.3 Northbound Capital Flows - It presents the historical data of northbound capital net inflows from May 2021 to August 2024, which can be used to analyze the impact of foreign capital on the A - share market [32]. 3.4.4 Share Unlockings No detailed data analysis is provided, only the topic is mentioned [43]. 3.4.5 Funding Costs - It shows the historical data of SHIBOR overnight, one - week, and two - week rates from August 2024 to May 2025, reflecting the short - term funding costs in the market [47]. 3.5 Market Sentiment 3.5.1 Trading Activity - It presents the historical turnover rate data of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext indices, which can be used to analyze market trading activity [50][53]. 3.5.2 Public - Offering Hybrid Fund Positions No detailed data analysis is provided, only the topic is mentioned [55]. 3.6 Other Indicators 3.6.1 Dividend Yield and Treasury Yield - It shows the historical data of the dividend yields of the CSI 300, Shanghai 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices and the 10 - year Treasury yield from January 2015 to January 2025 [59]. 3.6.2 RMB Exchange Rate - It presents the historical data of the US dollar - RMB exchange rate from May 2021 to May 2025, which can be used to analyze the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the market [61]. 3.6.3 New Account Openings and Index Tracking No detailed data analysis is provided, only the topic is mentioned [62]. 3.6.4 Newly Established Fund Sizes - It mentions the changes in the newly established sizes of stock - type, hybrid, and bond - type funds, but no detailed data analysis is provided [64][66][68].