彭博：中国考虑推行新“中国制造”计划

Investment Rating - The report indicates a focus on the manufacturing sector, which is a critical pillar of the Chinese economy, accounting for approximately 25% of the national GDP [8]. Core Insights - The Chinese government is considering a new version of the "Made in China 2025" initiative to promote high-tech product manufacturing, particularly in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, amidst ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. [5][19] - The upcoming five-year plan aims to maintain the manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP at a stable level, reflecting challenges in achieving the U.S. goal of economic rebalancing with China [5][7] - There is a significant emphasis on enhancing domestic consumption, which currently accounts for about 40% of China's GDP, compared to 50% to 70% in developed economies, indicating a persistent imbalance [16][22] Summary by Sections Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing industry is viewed as essential for national security and job creation, with the government aiming to strengthen its position and reduce reliance on foreign technology [14][21] - The "Made in China 2025" plan has seen success in several key technologies, with China leading in five out of thirteen tracked technologies [17] Economic Planning - The next five-year plan is expected to be unveiled in March 2026, with discussions ongoing about whether to include specific consumption targets in GDP [7][10] - The government is focusing on breaking through bottlenecks in economic growth, particularly in semiconductor and new energy materials technologies [24] Trade Relations - The report highlights the ongoing trade tensions, with the U.S. imposing tariffs and seeking to decouple strategically from China, while China maintains control over critical resources like rare earths [7][19]