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摩根大通:汽车零部件 - 轮胎行业
2025-05-29 14:12

Investment Rating - The report provides various investment ratings for Japanese automotive companies, including "Overweight" for Toyota Motor, Suzuki Motor, Yamaha Motor, Isuzu Motors, Denso, Aisin, and Nifco, while "Underweight" is assigned to Nissan Motor and SUBARU [5]. Core Insights - The global auto industry is expected to normalize after overcoming COVID-19 and supply chain issues, with a projected growth rate of approximately 2% CAGR from 2024 [20]. - The report highlights the complexity of the Toyota Group structure, indicating increasing cross-shareholdings among its subsidiaries [7]. - Tariff impacts are noted to be minor in the tire sector, but the competitive environment remains challenging [4]. Coverage Universe & Valuation - Nissan Motor: Underweight, Price: ¥355, Target Price: ¥320, Market Cap: ¥1,318.5 billion, FY24E P/E: NM, ROE: -1.2% [5] - Toyota Motor: Overweight, Price: ¥2,624, Target Price: ¥3,600, Market Cap: ¥41,438.1 billion, FY24E P/E: 6.9, ROE: 13.4% [5] - Mitsubishi Motors: Neutral, Price: ¥432, Target Price: ¥360, Market Cap: ¥631.1 billion, FY24E P/E: 15.4, ROE: 3.7% [5] - Mazda Motor: Neutral, Price: ¥894, Target Price: ¥1,000, Market Cap: ¥564.8 billion, FY24E P/E: 4.5, ROE: 7.3% [5] - Honda Motor: Neutral, Price: ¥1,421, Target Price: ¥1,500, Market Cap: ¥7,500.2 billion, FY24E P/E: 6.4, ROE: 7.5% [5] - Suzuki Motor: Overweight, Price: ¥1,787, Target Price: ¥2,300, Market Cap: ¥3,509.7 billion, FY24E P/E: 8.6, ROE: 14.5% [5] - SUBARU: Underweight, Price: ¥2,625, Target Price: ¥2,500, Market Cap: ¥1,923.9 billion, FY24E P/E: 5.5, ROE: 12.9% [5] - Yamaha Motor: Overweight, Price: ¥1,075, Target Price: ¥1,500, Market Cap: ¥1,103.3 billion, FY24E P/E: 9.7, ROE: 13.3% [5] - Isuzu Motors: Overweight, Price: ¥1,924, Target Price: ¥2,600, Market Cap: ¥1,372.5 billion, FY24E P/E: 9.8, ROE: 9.5% [5] - Denso: Overweight, Price: ¥1,897, Target Price: ¥2,300, Market Cap: ¥5,522.1 billion, FY24E P/E: 13.0, ROE: 8.0% [5] - Aisin: Overweight, Price: ¥1,781, Target Price: ¥2,200, Market Cap: ¥1,440.9 billion, FY24E P/E: 13.4, ROE: 5.2% [5] - Bridgestone: Overweight, Price: ¥6,106, Target Price: ¥6,500, Market Cap: ¥4,357.8 billion, FY24E P/E: 14.7, ROE: 8.0% [5] Earnings Forecast Summary - Toyota's revenue for FY24 is projected at ¥45,095.3 billion, with a YoY growth of 21.4% and a net profit of ¥4,944.9 billion [17]. - Honda's revenue for FY24 is projected at ¥20,428.8 billion, with a YoY growth of 20.8% and a net profit of ¥1,107.2 billion [17]. - Nissan's revenue for FY24 is projected at ¥12,685.7 billion, with a YoY growth of 19.7% and a net profit of ¥426.6 billion [17]. - Suzuki's revenue for FY24 is projected at ¥5,374.3 billion, with a YoY growth of 15.8% and a net profit of ¥267.7 billion [17]. - SUBARU's revenue for FY24 is projected at ¥4,702.9 billion, with a YoY growth of 24.6% and a net profit of ¥385.1 billion [17].