彭博：贸易议程面临倒退，特朗普赢得关税豁免

Investment Rating - The report indicates a potential rollback of Trump's tariff agenda, which could significantly impact the investment landscape in the trade sector [2][4][12]. Core Insights - The recent court ruling temporarily halts a significant portion of Trump's tariff agenda, which could reduce the effective U.S. tariff rate from nearly 27% to below 6% [4][8]. - Trump's administration plans to continue defending its trade policies in higher courts, indicating a commitment to maintaining tariffs despite legal challenges [3][7]. - The ruling has introduced uncertainty into global trade dynamics, as Trump's fluctuating tariff policies have already caused unrest among international trading partners [11][12]. Summary by Sections Legal Developments - A federal appeals court has temporarily blocked a ruling that would overturn many of Trump's tariffs, providing a glimmer of hope for the administration [2][5]. - The court's decision could lead to a significant reduction in tariffs, impacting various sectors reliant on imports [4][8]. Administration's Response - Trump's team expresses confidence in overcoming legal hurdles and plans to explore alternative legal avenues to impose tariffs [7][17]. - The administration is considering other options for implementing tariffs, although these may take longer to execute [13][14]. Economic Implications - The potential reduction in tariffs could lead to economic stagnation, as the effective tariff rate drops significantly [8][11]. - The ongoing legal disputes may inject further uncertainty into the global economy, affecting trade negotiations and relationships with partners [11][12].