Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.00 per share, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of HKD 6.41 [5][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 profit decline was influenced by poor wind resources and rising operating expenses, with revenue dropping by 19% year-on-year to HKD 81.40 billion and net profit decreasing by 22.07% to HKD 19.02 billion [7][8]. - The company plans to start new renewable energy projects totaling 5.5 GW in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be operational, including 3.2 GW of wind power and 1.7 GW of solar power [3][8]. - The company possesses high-quality existing assets that ensure stable performance, benefiting from favorable regulatory conditions in Shandong and Guangdong provinces [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 81.40 billion, a 19% decrease year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 19.02 billion, down 22.07% [7]. - The total power generation for Q1 was 202.86 billion kWh, a decline of 4.42% year-on-year, but a growth of 8.81% when excluding the impact of thermal power divestiture [7][8]. Project Development - The company aims to initiate 5.5 GW of new renewable energy projects in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be commissioned, including 3.2 GW of wind and 1.7 GW of solar [3][8]. - As of March 2025, the company’s total installed capacity reached 41.15 million kW, with wind power accounting for 30.44 million kW and solar power approximately 10.70 million kW [3][8]. Asset Quality - The company’s existing assets are of high quality, providing stable returns, supported by regulatory frameworks that ensure the profitability of existing projects [4][9]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the wind power sector, with a competitive advantage in market transactions due to its substantial existing asset base [4][9].
龙源电力:存量资产优质,保障业绩稳定-20250603