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瑞达期货焦煤焦炭产业日报-20250603
Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-06-03 10:01
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views - On June 3, the JM2509 contract closed at 719.0, down 3.03%. The spot price of Meng 5 raw coal was reported at 735. With a loose supply, stable mine production, and a continuous increase in clean coal inventory, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is below the 20 and 60 moving averages. It should be treated as a weak - oscillating operation [2]. - On June 3, the J2509 contract closed at 1299.0, down 1.10%. The second - round price cut has been implemented on the spot side. With Trump's tariff increase plan, the market sentiment is pessimistic. The loose supply of raw materials weakens cost support, and the molten iron output has declined from a high level. The average loss per ton of coke for 30 independent coking plants nationwide is 39 yuan/ton this period. The 4 - hour cycle K - line is below the 20 and 60 moving averages. It should be treated as a weak - oscillating operation [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - JM主力合约收盘价为719.00元/吨,环比下跌7.00元;J主力合约收盘价为1299.00元/吨,环比下跌9.00元 [2]. - JM期货合约持仓量为680451.00手,环比增加29469.00手;J期货合约持仓量为59323.00手,环比减少41.00手 [2]. - 焦煤前20名合约净持仓为 - 14148.00手,环比增加23893.00手;焦炭前20名合约净持仓为2338.00手,环比增加874.00手 [2]. - JM1 - 9月合约价差为16.50元/吨,环比下跌5.00元;J1 - 9月合约价差为23.50元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - 焦煤仓单为0.00张,环比持平;焦炭仓单为90.00张,环比持平 [2]. 3.2现货市场 - 干其毛都蒙5原煤价格为735.00元/吨,环比下跌5.00元;唐山准一级冶金焦价格为1520.00元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - 俄罗斯主焦煤远期现货(CFR)价格为117.50美元/湿吨,环比持平;唐山二级冶金焦价格为1525.00元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - 京唐港澳大利亚进口主焦煤价格为1200.00元/吨,环比下跌20.00元;天津港一级冶金焦价格为1440.00元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - 京唐港山西产主焦煤价格为1270.00元/吨,环比下跌30.00元;天津港准一级冶金焦价格为1340.00元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - 山西晋中灵石中硫主焦价格为1050.00元/吨,环比持平;内蒙古乌海产焦煤出厂价为1050.00元/吨,环比持平 [2]. - JM主力合约基差为331.00元/吨,环比增加7.00元;J主力合约基差为221.00元/吨,环比增加9.00元 [2]. 3.3上游情况 - 110家洗煤厂原煤库存为310.98万吨,环比减少5.50万吨;精煤库存为222.07万吨,环比增加7.33万吨 [2]. - 110家洗煤厂开工率为61.55%,环比下降0.81个百分点;原煤产量为38930.60万吨,环比减少5127.60万吨 [2]. - 煤及褐煤进口量为3783.00万吨,环比减少90.00万吨;523家炼焦煤矿山原煤日均产量为191.80万吨,环比减少1.80万吨 [2]. - 16个港口进口焦煤库存为553.76万吨,环比增加18.27万吨;焦炭18个港口库存为271.78万吨,环比减少4.90万吨 [2]. - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤总库存为846.33万吨,环比减少19.40万吨;独立焦企全样本焦炭库存为111.38万吨,环比增加8.13万吨 [2]. - 全国247家钢厂炼焦煤库存为786.79万吨,环比减少11.96万吨;全国247家样本钢厂焦炭库存为654.93万吨,环比减少5.66万吨 [2]. - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤可用天数为12.50天,环比减少0.20天;247家样本钢厂焦炭可用天数为11.71天,环比减少0.18天 [2]. - 炼焦煤进口量为889.34万吨,环比增加25.97万吨;焦炭及半焦炭出口量为55.00万吨,环比减少21.00万吨 [2]. - 炼焦煤产量为4161.47万吨,环比持平;独立焦企产能利用率为75.66%,环比下降0.21个百分点 [2]. - 独立焦化厂吨焦盈利情况为 - 39.00元/吨,环比减少24.00元;焦炭产量为4160.00万吨,环比增加30.60万吨 [2]. 3.4全国下游情况 - 247家钢厂高炉开工率为83.89%,环比增加0.22个百分点;247家钢厂高炉炼铁产能利用率为90.67%,环比下降0.63个百分点 [2]. - 粗钢产量为8601.90万吨,环比减少682.24万吨 [2]. 3.5行业消息 - 全国多地加强管控,严防战略矿产非法外流,如贵州按部署分工工作,湖南摸排战略矿产出口企业,广西查处非法采矿行为 [2]. - 欧盟正制定针对俄罗斯的第18轮制裁措施,涵盖“北溪”基础设施、俄罗斯银行业及下调原油价格上限等 [2]. - 美国贸易代表办公室延长对中国相关行为、政策及做法301调查的豁免期限至2025年8月31日 [2]. - 新疆伊尔克什坦口岸自本月起试行全时段货运通关 [2].