彭博：华尔街放松资本规则的梦想正在逐渐实现

Investment Rating - The report indicates a favorable outlook for the banking sector, particularly regarding potential changes to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) regulations, which could enhance banks' ability to engage in U.S. Treasury transactions [3][7][14]. Core Insights - The U.S. government’s outstanding debt has increased to nearly $29 trillion, while banks' balance sheets have not expanded correspondingly, leading to bottlenecks in capital markets and rising financing costs [3][4][19]. - The SLR, established post-2008 financial crisis, is seen as a constraint on banks' ability to purchase safer assets like U.S. Treasuries, which could be alleviated through regulatory changes [8][9][30]. - There is a growing consensus among financial regulators, including the Federal Reserve, to explore adjustments to the SLR to improve market liquidity and banks' intermediary roles [14][28]. Summary by Sections Market Context - The report highlights the historical context of the SLR and its implications for banks' capital requirements, emphasizing the need for regulatory reform to support the growing U.S. debt market [3][9][19]. Regulatory Changes - Potential modifications to the SLR could include lowering the capital ratio requirements or excluding U.S. Treasuries from SLR calculations, which would allow banks to maintain lower capital buffers [24][30]. Market Reactions - The anticipated changes to the SLR have sparked interest in swap spreads, with banks and financial institutions preparing for potential shifts in U.S. Treasury yields [30][31].