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摩根大通:再鼎医药 2025 年 ASCO 会议-ZL - 1310 小细胞肺癌(SCLC)项目持续强劲推进
2025-06-06 02:37

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating on Zai Lab (ZLAB) shares, indicating a positive outlook on the stock's performance relative to its peers [2][4]. Core Insights - The ZL-1310 ASCO phase 1a/1b update demonstrates a compelling efficacy and safety profile, highlighting its differentiated potential in treating extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) [4]. - The 1.6 mg/kg cohort shows a 79% unconfirmed overall response rate (ORR) and a 100% disease control rate (DCR) in patients with one prior line of therapy, suggesting strong efficacy [4]. - The report anticipates that Zai Lab will initiate a pivotal trial in second-line SCLC later this year, which could further validate the drug's potential [4]. - The report estimates that assuming approximately $500 million in net sales/royalties to Zai Lab, this could add mid-single digits to the valuation of ZLAB shares [4]. Summary by Sections Efficacy and Safety Profile - The ZL-1310 trial data indicates a 67% unconfirmed ORR and a 97% DCR in the overall population of 33 patients [4]. - The safety profile is described as clean, with no discontinuations and Grade 3+ treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) at 6%, primarily consisting of anemia (2%) and neutropenia (4%) [4]. Competitive Landscape - The report notes that Imdelltra (tarlatamab) has a ~40% ORR in relapsed/refractory ES-SCLC, positioning ZL-1310 favorably in comparison [4]. Future Outlook - Zai Lab's existing commercial franchise and upcoming product launches, along with a growing internal pipeline including ZL-1310, support the reiterated Overweight rating [4].