摩根士丹利：中国市场洞察-投资者观点-年中展望反馈

Investment Rating - The report indicates a preference for offshore markets (Hong Kong + ADR) over A-shares due to better single stock opportunities and sector composition [10][11]. Core Insights - Investor sentiment towards China has improved, with a higher willingness to allocate to Chinese equities, particularly in Tech and New Consumption sectors [2][3]. - The A-share market has underperformed compared to the Hong Kong market, with the CSI 300 down 1.5% YTD as of June 6, 2025, while the Hang Seng and MSCI China indices are up 19% and 16% respectively [8][10]. - The report highlights that China's investability has improved, with new technologies and business models attracting significant investor interest [4][5]. Summary by Sections Investor Sentiment - Investors are increasingly interested in adding exposure to Chinese equities, acknowledging that their current exposure is low, with a 2.4 percentage point underweight in Chinese equities compared to the MSCI EM benchmark [3]. Market Performance - The divergence in performance between A-shares and offshore markets is attributed to several factors, including the concentration of high-quality companies in the MSCI China index and muted liquidity support for the A-share market [10][11]. Sector Composition - The MSCI China index has a higher concentration of high-ROE companies in sectors like Internet, financials, and IT, while the A-share market is more exposed to sectors constrained by macro conditions [10]. Technological Advancements - China's advancements in technology, particularly in AI and electric vehicles, have shifted investor perceptions, leading to a renewed interest in the potential of Chinese tech companies [5][4]. Economic Outlook - The report anticipates a persistent deflationary environment in China through 2025 and 2026, with limited stimulus expected from Beijing [11][12].