燃料油早报-20250610

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur crack spread declined, the 380 - month spread declined, and the basis strengthened. The low - sulfur crack spread weakened in a volatile manner, the near - end month spread weakened slightly, and the basis weakened. Singapore's on - land inventory continued to accumulate, ARA port inventory continued to accumulate, and US residual oil inventory decreased slightly. After the supply recovers, there is room for the crack spread and the inter - month spread to decline. The high - sulfur crack spread has started to loosen, and the overseas market game remains strong. Affected by consumption tax deductions and tariff adjustments in China this year, the refinery feedstock demand for fuel oil has declined significantly. In the bunker fuel sector, the global high - sulfur bunker fuel from January to March increased by 2% year - on - year, Singapore remained basically flat, and the total bunker fuel was weaker year - on - year. Attention should be paid to the impact of tariffs on global trade activities. Recently, Saudi Arabia's net imports have rebounded, Egypt's purchases have continued, and high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak season. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of the medium - term decline in the high - sulfur crack spread. With high domestic production scheduling, a high - short strategy for LU at home and abroad is maintained [3][8] 3. Summary by Directory Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - From June 3, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased by 6.60, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased by 4.06, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.31, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 increased by 6.05, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 decreased by 1.99, LGO - Brent M1 increased by 0.20, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 decreased by 2.54 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - From June 3, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 10.49, Singapore 180cst M1 increased by 11.09, Singapore VLSFO M1 increased by 6.89, Singapore Gasoil M1 increased by 1.85, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 decreased by 0.11, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 decreased by 6.80 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From June 3, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the FOB price of 380cst increased by 2.79, the FOB price of VLSFO increased by 0.30, the 380 basis remained unchanged, the high - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by 2.3, and the low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by 0.3 [2] Domestic FU Data - From June 3, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the price of FU 01 increased by 20, FU 05 increased by 11, FU 09 increased by 16, FU 01 - 05 declined, FU 05 - 09 decreased by 5, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 4 [2] Domestic LU Data - From June 3, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the price of LU 01 increased by 26, LU 05 increased by 5, LU 09 decreased by 1, LU 01 - 05 increased by 21, LU 05 - 09 increased by 6, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 27 [3]