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摩根士丹利:全球电动汽车追踪-中国的电动化主导时代
2025-06-11 02:16

Investment Rating - Industry View: In-Line [5] Core Insights - Global electric vehicle (EV) sales increased by 38% year-over-year (y/y) in April 2025, with China leading the growth at 51% y/y [1] - Tesla's global sales decreased by 17% y/y, with a notable decline of 15% y/y in the US market [1][8] - The top battery electric vehicle (BEV) manufacturers globally include BYD, Geely, and GM, while Tesla's market share has dropped significantly [7][27] Summary by Sections Global BEV Sales - Total global BEV sales reached 1,079,716 units in April 2025, marking a 38% increase y/y but a decrease of 11% from the previous month [7] - The leading BEV manufacturers in April 2025 were BYD (181k sales), Geely (101k sales), and GM (96k sales) [7][22] - Tesla's market share in the global BEV market fell to 7.9% in April 2025, down from 12.3% the previous month [7][27] Regional Performance - In the US, BEV sales decreased by 4% y/y to 95,427 units in April 2025, with an EV penetration rate of approximately 6.5% [14] - European BEV sales increased by 30% y/y to 214,288 units, with a penetration rate of around 19.9% [14] - China saw a significant increase in BEV sales, up 51% y/y to 662,541 units, with a penetration rate of about 30.2% [14] Top BEV Models - The top-selling BEV models globally in April 2025 included the Tesla Model Y (57k sales), BYD Seagull/Dolphin Mini (38k sales), and Wuling HongGuang Mini (36k sales) [30] - The total sales of the top 20 BEV models accounted for 41% of the total BEV sales in April 2025 [30] Battery Deployment - Total MWh deployed in April 2025 increased by 32% y/y to 66,771 MWh [11] - The top five cell suppliers deployed a combined 49,858 MWh in April 2025, compared to 38,889 MWh the previous year [11] Market Share Dynamics - Tesla's share of the US BEV market decreased from 46.0% last year to 41.0% in April 2025 [8] - The market share of other manufacturers such as BYD and GM has been increasing, indicating a shift in competitive dynamics within the industry [24][27]