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摩根士丹利:中国经济-在多极货币世界中的人民币规划
2025-06-19 09:46

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or the RMB internationalization efforts Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBoC) is advocating for the internationalization of the RMB and a multipolar global financial system, emphasizing the need for securing international transactions over enjoying the benefits of a reserve currency [2][8] - Eight new financial policies have been announced to facilitate the opening of China's financial system and promote the use of RMB internationally [3][8] Summary by Sections PBoC's Remarks - PBoC Governor highlighted the tension between self-interest and global public goods, the spillover of domestic policy, and the weaponization of currency in geopolitical competition [2] - The focus is on securing cross-border settlements rather than the "exorbitant privilege" of a reserve currency [2] Financial Policies - The PBoC announced eight financial measures aimed at enhancing RMB internationalization, which include establishing a trade reporting system, setting up an international digital RMB operation center, and promoting RMB FX futures trading [5][6] - The measures also aim to enrich financial products and services in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone and enhance Shanghai's role as a financial center [6][8] Economic Context - The wider international use of RMB is contingent upon a robust economy and progress in capital account convertibility [3] - To restore global confidence in growth, Beijing needs to address deflation and increase the supply of central government bonds [3]