汇丰：中国宏观追踪_聚焦国内事务

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Major Chinese automakers have pledged to make payments to suppliers within 60 days amidst a severe price war, which is expected to alleviate liquidity pressures in the industrial chain [3][8] - Local governments have started to utilize special bonds to repay arrears to businesses, indicating a proactive approach to improve business liquidity [4][8] - The property sector is receiving increased policy support, focusing on urban renewals and affordable housing, as recent activity data showed declines in new home sales and property investment [9][10] Summary by Sections Automotive Industry - With US-China trade tensions stabilizing, the focus has shifted to domestic issues, particularly in the auto sector where price competition remains intense, leading to falling prices but higher volumes [2] - Automakers have faced liquidity pressures due to delayed payments and demands for price cuts exceeding 10% from suppliers [2][3] - The average accounts payable turnover days for 12 listed Chinese automakers exceeded 170 days, peaking at 248 days, with accounts payable and notes payable accounting for 46.2% of total liabilities [3] Local Government Financial Measures - By the end of 2024, the accounts payable of bond-issuing local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) stood at approximately RMB3.1 trillion, accounting for 9% of LGFV's short-term debt [4] - Hunan province issued RMB20 billion in special bonds to settle local government arrears, marking a significant step in using special local government bonds for this purpose [4] Property Sector - The property sector is under pressure, with new home sales and property investment declining by 4.6% and 12% year-on-year, respectively [9] - Premier Li Qiang announced plans to optimize policies to boost demand and stabilize the property market, with a focus on urban renewal and affordable housing [9][10] - In the first five months of the year, 16.4% of new local government special bonds were allocated to property-related projects, compared to 8.6% in 2024 [10]