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摩根士丹利:从轮式到步式⸺汽车如何跨足人形机器人
2025-06-23 02:30

Investment Rating - The report upgrades Sanhua's rating to Overweight (OW) and Xusheng's rating to Equal-weight (EW) [3][5][27] Core Insights - The humanoid robot market is seen as the third wave of growth for automotive parts suppliers, following the electric vehicle and smart vehicle trends [3][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with order visibility and business synergies in the early stages of the humanoid robot industry [3][22] - The potential global market for humanoid robots is estimated to reach USD 5 trillion by 2050, with USD 800 billion coming from China [23][24] Summary by Sections Investment Ratings Overview - Sanhua's new rating is Overweight with a target price of RMB 30, up from RMB 29, due to expected strong revenue in 2025 and long-term growth potential in the global electric vehicle market [5][28] - Xusheng's rating is upgraded to Equal-weight with a target price of RMB 12, reflecting anticipated revenue recovery with the launch of new electric models [5][28] - Tuopu maintains an Overweight rating but has a reduced target price of RMB 63, down from RMB 72, due to lower-than-expected shipments to major electric vehicle clients [5][28] Industry Opportunities - Automotive companies are leveraging their expertise in the automotive sector to enter the humanoid robot market, with a focus on integrating autonomous driving technologies [4][23] - The report identifies key players in the humanoid robot supply chain, highlighting the advantages of first-tier suppliers like Sanhua and Tuopu over second-tier component manufacturers [4][26] - The automotive supply chain is expected to capture 47-60% of the cost share in humanoid robots, driven by their expertise in large-scale manufacturing and mechanical structures [22][24] SWOT Analysis - Strengths include know-how in autonomous driving algorithms and existing sales networks, while weaknesses involve slower decision-making processes compared to startups [14] - Opportunities are significant, with the potential for global expansion for parts suppliers, while threats include geopolitical tensions affecting collaboration [14]