建信期货锌期货日报-20250625

Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: June 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report. Core View - The zinc market maintains a pattern of increasing supply and weak demand. Although the social inventory is at a low level, the trend of inventory accumulation in the off - season has not been confirmed. The SHFE zinc is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term, with the 22,000 - yuan mark turning into a resistance level [7]. Summary by Section 1. Market Review - Futures Market Quotes: The main contract of SHFE zinc 2508 closed at 21,920 yuan/ton, up 185 yuan or 0.85%. The 0 - 3 spread was 22.25, the SHFE - LME ratio was 8.26, and the ratio excluding exchange rate was 1.16. The spot import loss was 842.727 yuan/ton, and the import window was deeply closed. The domestic social inventory decreased slightly by 0.18 million tons to 7.78 million tons at the beginning of the week. The supply of zinc concentrates was abundant, the imported zinc concentrate TC increased slightly, and the domestic TC remained flat at 3,600 yuan/ton. The smelting sector was expected to increase production, while the开工 rates in the downstream primary consumption fields were all lower than the same period in previous years. The construction of engineering projects and the home appliance industry were weak, and the galvanizing production plan was reduced. The terminal consumption support decreased marginally after the 618 mid - year promotion and the interruption of national subsidies [7]. 2. Industry News - National 0 Zinc Transactions: On June 24, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 21,960 - 22,125 yuan/ton, and that of Shuangyan brand was between 22,160 - 22,325 yuan/ton. The morning market quoted a premium of 0 - 10 yuan/ton to the average price, and there was no quote against the market price. In the second trading session, the common domestic brands quoted a premium of 130 yuan/ton to the 2507 contract, and the high - end brand Shuangyan quoted a premium of 330 yuan/ton to the 2507 contract [8]. - Ningbo Market: The mainstream brands of 0 zinc in Ningbo were traded at around 21,960 - 22,125 yuan/ton. The common brands in Ningbo quoted a premium of 130 yuan/ton to the 2507 contract and a premium of 30 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price. The mainstream in Ningbo was to quote against the 2507 contract, and the quotes remained stable in the two trading periods [8]. - Tianjin Market: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc ingots in Tianjin was between 21,890 - 22,090 yuan/ton, and that of Zijin brand was between 21,950 - 22,140 yuan/ton. The common 0 zinc quoted a premium of 60 - 100 yuan/ton to the 2507 contract, and Zijin quoted a premium of 120 - 150 yuan/ton to the 2507 contract. The Tianjin market quoted a discount of about 20 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai market [8][9]. - Guangdong Market: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc in Guangdong was between 21,785 - 21,995 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands quoted a premium of 195 yuan/ton to the 2508 contract and a discount of 100 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price, and the price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong expanded [9]. 3. Data Overview - The report provided charts on the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM's weekly inventory of zinc ingots in seven regions, and LME zinc inventory, but did not provide specific data analysis in the text [11][13]