集运早报-20250701

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints No clear core viewpoints are presented in the given content. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs EC Futures Contracts - EC2506 had a closing price of 1888.5 with a 0.04% increase, a basis of 234.7, a trading volume of 225, an open interest of 2053, and a decrease of 78 in open interest [2]. - EC2508 had a closing price of 1761.4 with a 2.42% decrease, a basis of 361.8, a trading volume of 32689, an open interest of 39228, and an increase of 168 in open interest [2]. - EC2510 had a closing price of 1339.0 with a 0.99% increase, a basis of 784.2, a trading volume of 10051, an open interest of 30121, and an increase of 401 in open interest [2]. - EC2512 had a closing price of 1500.0 with a 0.33% increase, a basis of 623.2, a trading volume of 1654, an open interest of 5827, and a decrease of 1339 in open interest [2]. - EC2602 had a closing price of 1307.8 with a 0.71% decrease, a basis of 815.4, a trading volume of 564, an open interest of 3757, and a decrease of 101 in open interest [2]. - EC2604 had a closing price of 1169.8 with a 0.07% decrease, a basis of 953.4, a trading volume of 928, an open interest of 5529, and a decrease of 42 in open interest [2]. Month - to - Month Spreads - The spread between EC2506 - 2508 was 127.1 (previous day), 82.7 (two days ago), 126.0 currently, with a month - on - month change of 44.4 and a week - on - week change of 11.0 [2]. - The spread between EC2508 - 2510 was 422.4 (previous day), 479.1 (two days ago), 434.3 currently, with a month - on - month change of - 56.7 and a week - on - week change of - 45.0 [2]. - The spread between EC2506 - 2510 was 561.8 (two days ago), 560.3 currently, with a month - on - month change of - 12.3 and a week - on - week change of - 34.0 [2]. - The spread between EC2510 - 2512 was - 161.0 (previous day), - 169.1 (two days ago), - 163.5 currently, with a month - on - month change of 8.1 and a week - on - week change of - 8.1 [2]. - The spread between EC2512 - 2602 was 192.2 (previous day), 177.8 (two days ago), 171.7 currently, with a month - on - month change of 14.4 and a week - on - week change of 41.3 [2]. Shipping Indexes - SCHIS was updated weekly, with a value of 2123.24 on 2025/6/30, a previous value of 1937.14, and an increase of 9.61% [2]. - SCFI was updated hourly, with a value of 2030 on 2025/6/27, a previous value of 1835, and an increase of 10.63% [2]. - CCFI was updated hourly, with a value of 1640.72 on 2025/6/27, a previous value of 1578.6, and an increase of 3.94% [2]. - NCFI was updated weekly, with a value of 1442.95 on 2025/6/27, a previous value of 1299.58, and an increase of 11.03% [2]. - TCI was updated daily, with a value of 957.21 on 2025/6/30, a previous value of 937.12, and an increase of 2.14% [2]. Capacity Arrangement - In July and August 2025 (tentatively), the average weekly capacity was 299,000 TEU and 305,000 TEU respectively. The first week of July had good cargo intake but no over - booking. The capacity in the second and fourth weeks was neutral, while the third week was high, which could suppress freight rates. In week 33, there was one new blank sailing, and there were ship delays for PA & MSC [2]. Recent European Line Quotations - Shipping companies announced price increases for July. MSK opened at $3400, and others were mostly between $3500 - $4000. In the first week, some shipping companies reduced prices, and MSK dropped to $3100, with the final average price of shipping companies at $3400 (equivalent to 2400 points on the futures market). In the second week, MSK opened at $2900, and the current average quotation of shipping companies was equivalent to 2300 points on the futures market [3]. News - On June 30, the Qatari Foreign Ministry stated that the cease - fire negotiation in the Gaza Strip had not restarted, and relevant parties were in contact to determine the schedule and plan for the new round of negotiation. Qatar was pressuring relevant parties to decouple the cease - fire negotiation from the provision of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip and accused Israel of preventing humanitarian aid from entering the Gaza Strip [4]. - On June 30, the Iranian Armed Forces stated that they were ready to respond to any new acts of aggression [4].